Can the Wall Street Crash Happen Again?

While the Dow soars above historic highs, oil andmore. When prices began to drop, people realized
housing prices are falling. Are these sectoralthey would not only fail to make money but they
adjustments or indications of a radical shift in themight not be able to cover the debt either and so
economy? Could we see another stock marketpanicked. Banks had lent heavily to fund this
crash like The Wall Street Crash Of 1929? Whyshare-buying spree and when the market
are investors getting jittery?The Wall Streetcollapsed they found themselves saddled with
Crash, and the subsequent Great Depression ofdebt, which caused many banks to fail. Millions of
the 1930s, are well known phrases but fewpeople lost their savings and, disastrously for the
people know what really happened andeconomy, businesses lost their credit lines and
understand the dynamics that led to the crash.were forced to close, which caused massive
The Wall Street Crash, also called the 'Greatunemployment. The middle class now found
Crash,' was a stock-market price collapse thatthemselves without savings and, in many cases,
started on October 24 ("Black Thursday") andwork.
continued through October 29, 1929 ("BlackThe over-reaction of the Hoover administration
Tuesday"), when share prices on the New Yorkto the Wall Street Crash probably exacerbated
Stock Exchange (NYSE) collapsed.The Dow Jonesthe situation and the passage of the
Industrial Average, recovered early in 1930 onlySmoot-Hawley Tariff Act caused more harm than
to decline until finally bottoming out in the bearthe crash itself.Could it happen again?Investors are
market in 1932. The market did not surpasscontinually told "no" and that there are things are
pre-1929 levels until 1955.in place to stop the sort of crash that happened
The Dow had reached a high of 381.17 onin 1929. But evidence seems to imply
September 3, 1929. Three days later, on Blackotherwise.To prevent panics such as 1929, buying
Thursday, the stock market suffered its firston speculation was made illegal. Stock markets
crash. A then-record 13 million shares were tradedinstituted measures to temporarily suspend
that day. More investors were involved in thetrading in the event of rapid declines.The US
stock market than ever before and many hadGlass-Steagall Act of 1933, mandated a separation
borrowed money to invest and thosebetween commercial banks, which take deposits
over-leveraged investors were jittery. The crashand extend loans, and investment banks, which
began on the Thursday when those investorsunderwrite, issue, and distribute stocks, bonds,
panicked and rushed to sell their shares.At 1:00pmand other securities.For decades, these rules
on Black Thursday, several leading Wall Streetseemed to protect the markets and no more
bankers met to find a solution to the panic andcollapses occurred. Invested slowly came back to
chaos that was unfolding on the trading floor. Thethe market. But when the Regan administration
group included the heads of Morgan, Chaserelaxed some of the regulations managing
National and National City Banks and they bid onbrokerages in the early 1980s, the stock market
large blocks of "blue-chip" stocks to showbegan to pick up.The crash of Monday, October
confidence in the market. The tactic succeeded in19, 1987 was even more severe than the Crash
halting the slide that day and the panic abated.of 1929. On Black Monday of 1987, the Dow
The markets were calmer on the Friday.Over theJones Industrial Average fell 22.6%. While it was
weekend, however, newspapers published direthe largest single day drop in history, it did not
and sensational stories about the fragility of theprecipitate a recession or depression. Other
market. By Monday, agitated investors panickedeconomic indicators were on the upswing and the
by the press, were champing at the bit tocrash seemed to only affect the larger
liquidate. When the markets opened on Mondayinvestors.The late 1990s also saw a period of
morning, investors decided to get out of the"irrational exuberance" as billions were invested in
market en mass and the slide resumed with aspeculative 'dot-com' businesses. The 'dot-com
record 13% loss in the Dow for the day. Manyboom' will be remembered for the founding
wealthy tycoons joined with members of thespectacular failures of new Internet-based
Rockefeller family and other financial giants to buycompanies that eshewed standard business
large quantities of stocks in order to demonstratemodels, and focused on increasing market share
confidence in the market on the Monday but thisat the expense of the bottom line and launched
time the tactic failed. Tuesday saw more theIPOs based on ideas rather than demonstrated
same another 15 million shares were traded andbusinesses. Most major investors such as Warren
the market bottomed out.So why did the crashBuffett had not jumped on the band wagon and
happen and what can today's investors learn?Onewhen the collapse came in 2000 were not
of the great myths about the great crash wasaffected. The same can not be said for the
that it precipitated the Great Depression. Financialmajority of passive investors who saw the value
analysts and historians disagree on how muchof their mutual funds plummet.
effect the crash had on the looming GreatThat crash followed by drastic US deficits
Depression of the 30s.The economy was alreadyimplemented by President George W Bush, a
collapsing prior to the Wall Street disaster andcollapse in Asian real estate markets and the
poor people, who would be the most affected bySeptember 11 attacks marked the beginning
the Depression, were not investing in the stockrather lengthy recession in Western nations.So
market. For them, poor farming conditions andwhat of today? Even more mutual funds pumping
the great dust bowl would be far more significanttheir value on speculative stocks, an overpriced
to their plight. The image of the Wall Streetbubble market with millions of people involved,
tycoon leaping through their skyscraper windowsmany of whom are seeing their other investment,
is a myth. Most survived the crash with theirtheir houses, sinking in value, and all with access
mansions intact. They lost large amounts of paperto computers and brokerages that can sell their
wealth but they had sufficient funds to survivestocks quickly makes for a very volatile situation.
and then prosper in the low market.For the middleThe next crash will probably indicate more than
class it was a different story. Throughout theany other whether investors are more
1920s the market had been doing so well thatsophisticated today and will avoid repeating 1929
many ordinary Americans were investing. Morestyle panic collapse or will precipitate a much
people were investing although many could notlarger, quicker and significant exit from the
afford to do so. People were investing onmarket.Jay Northco is the Editor of the website
speculation-borrowing from banks, buying stocksthat pits Wall Street Guru Jim Cramer against a
with an eye to selling them in the future for astock picking monkey to see who can make the
profit that would cover the debt and interest andbetter stock picks.