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Can the Wall Street Crash Happen Again?

While the Dow soars above historic highs, oiland interest and more. When prices began to
and housing prices are falling. Are thesedrop, people realized they would not only
sectoral adjustments or indications of afail to make money but they might not be able
radical shift in the economy? Could we seeto cover the debt either and so panicked.
another stock market crash like The WallBanks had lent heavily to fund this
Street Crash Of 1929? Why are investorsshare-buying spree and when the market
getting jittery?The Wall Street Crash, andcollapsed they found themselves saddled with
the subsequent Great Depression of the 1930s,debt, which caused many banks to fail.
are well known phrases but few people knowMillions of people lost their savings and,
what really happened and understand thedisastrously for the economy, businesses lost
dynamics  that  led  to  the  crash.their credit lines and were forced to close,
which caused massive unemployment. The middle
The Wall Street Crash, also called theclass now found themselves without savings
'Great Crash,' was a stock-market priceand,  in  many  cases,  work.
collapse that started on October 24 ("Black
Thursday") and continued through October 29,The over-reaction of the Hoover
1929 ("Black Tuesday"), when share prices onadministration to the Wall Street Crash
the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)probably exacerbated the situation and the
collapsed.The Dow Jones Industrial Average,passage of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act caused
recovered early in 1930 only to decline untilmore harm than the crash itself.Could it
finally bottoming out in the bear market inhappen again?Investors are continually told
1932. The market did not surpass pre-1929"no" and that there are things are in place
levels  until  1955.to stop the sort of crash that happened in
1929. But evidence seems to imply
The Dow had reached a high of 381.17 onotherwise.To prevent panics such as 1929,
September 3, 1929. Three days later, on Blackbuying on speculation was made illegal. Stock
Thursday, the stock market suffered its firstmarkets instituted measures to temporarily
crash. A then-record 13 million shares weresuspend trading in the event of rapid
traded that day. More investors were involveddeclines.The US Glass-Steagall Act of 1933,
in the stock market than ever before and manymandated a separation between commercial
had borrowed money to invest and thosebanks, which take deposits and extend loans,
over-leveraged investors were jittery. Theand investment banks, which underwrite,
crash began on the Thursday when thoseissue, and distribute stocks, bonds, and
investors panicked and rushed to sell theirother securities.For decades, these rules
shares.At 1:00pm on Black Thursday, severalseemed to protect the markets and no more
leading Wall Street bankers met to find acollapses occurred. Invested slowly came back
solution to the panic and chaos that wasto the market. But when the Regan
unfolding on the trading floor. The groupadministration relaxed some of the
included the heads of Morgan, Chase Nationalregulations managing brokerages in the early
and National City Banks and they bid on large1980s, the stock market began to pick up.The
blocks of "blue-chip" stocks to showcrash of Monday, October 19, 1987 was even
confidence in the market. The tacticmore severe than the Crash of 1929. On Black
succeeded in halting the slide that day andMonday of 1987, the Dow Jones Industrial
the panic abated. The markets were calmer onAverage fell 22.6%. While it was the largest
the Friday.Over the weekend, however,single day drop in history, it did not
newspapers published dire and sensationalprecipitate a recession or depression. Other
stories about the fragility of the market.economic indicators were on the upswing and
By Monday, agitated investors panicked by thethe crash seemed to only affect the larger
press, were champing at the bit to liquidate.investors.The late 1990s also saw a period of
When the markets opened on Monday morning,"irrational exuberance" as billions were
investors decided to get out of the market eninvested in speculative 'dot-com' businesses.
mass and the slide resumed with a record 13%The 'dot-com boom' will be remembered for the
loss in the Dow for the day. Many wealthyfounding spectacular failures of new
tycoons joined with members of theInternet-based companies that eshewed
Rockefeller family and other financial giantsstandard business models, and focused on
to buy large quantities of stocks in order toincreasing market share at the expense of the
demonstrate confidence in the market on thebottom line and launched IPOs based on ideas
Monday but this time the tactic failed.rather than demonstrated businesses. Most
Tuesday saw more the same another 15 millionmajor investors such as Warren Buffett had
shares were traded and the market bottomednot jumped on the band wagon and when the
out.So why did the crash happen and what cancollapse came in 2000 were not affected. The
today's investors learn?One of the greatsame can not be said for the majority of
myths about the great crash was that itpassive investors who saw the value of their
precipitated the Great Depression. Financialmutual  funds  plummet.
analysts and historians disagree on how much
effect the crash had on the looming GreatThat crash followed by drastic US deficits
Depression of the 30s.The economy was alreadyimplemented by President George W Bush, a
collapsing prior to the Wall Street disastercollapse in Asian real estate markets and the
and poor people, who would be the mostSeptember 11 attacks marked the beginning
affected by the Depression, were notrather lengthy recession in Western
investing in the stock market. For them, poornations.So what of today? Even more mutual
farming conditions and the great dust bowlfunds pumping their value on speculative
would be far more significant to theirstocks, an overpriced bubble market with
plight. The image of the Wall Street tycoonmillions of people involved, many of whom are
leaping through their skyscraper windows is aseeing their other investment, their houses,
myth. Most survived the crash with theirsinking in value, and all with access to
mansions intact. They lost large amounts ofcomputers and brokerages that can sell their
paper wealth but they had sufficient funds tostocks quickly makes for a very volatile
survive and then prosper in the lowsituation. The next crash will probably
market.For the middle class it was aindicate more than any other whether
different story. Throughout the 1920s theinvestors are more sophisticated today and
market had been doing so well that manywill avoid repeating 1929 style panic
ordinary Americans were investing. Morecollapse or will precipitate a much larger,
people were investing although many could notquicker and significant exit from the
afford to do so. People were investing onmarket.Jay Northco is the Editor of the
speculation-borrowing from banks, buyingwebsite that pits Wall Street Guru Jim Cramer
stocks with an eye to selling them in theagainst a stock picking monkey to see who can
future for a profit that would cover the debtmake the better stock picks.



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